Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 4.176409 4.677380 5.222367 5.860523 6.588863 7.396031 8.360791
2025-01-26 3.442278 4.109156 4.889110 5.873537 7.089698 8.551632 10.455159
2025-02-02 3.056601 3.829138 4.783948 6.061214 7.740762 9.895645 12.904688
2025-02-09 2.753065 3.584942 4.659931 6.167976 8.256202 11.086124 15.280839
2025-02-16 2.509748 3.376665 4.540124 6.240268 8.702548 12.203676 17.676632
2025-02-23 2.311896 3.200737 4.433975 6.302587 9.119953 13.304283 20.172093
2025-03-02 2.079324 2.948832 4.189616 6.128561 9.154713 13.821968 21.816845
2025-03-09 1.910331 2.770262 4.029880 6.056007 9.323092 14.546344 23.869184
2025-03-16 1.762007 2.607598 3.876160 5.971695 9.454424 15.212554 25.896494
2025-03-23 1.706898 2.580480 3.924434 6.208045 10.127901 16.847260 29.851537
2025-03-30 1.603945 2.469218 3.829292 6.196988 10.376270 17.769558 32.618804
2025-04-06 1.501579 2.350307 3.710923 6.133131 10.520918 18.514976 35.142300
2025-04-13 1.351755 2.145707 3.439963 5.788379 10.138064 18.266479 35.695070
2025-04-20 1.284043 2.072407 3.383327 5.816743 10.445709 19.365502 39.212337
2025-04-27 1.249582 2.052181 3.414866 6.005855 11.076136 21.172106 44.551732
2025-05-04 1.204335 2.009598 3.403184 6.112283 11.554888 22.729684 49.601822
2025-05-11 1.157444 1.960423 3.375282 6.184003 11.969694 24.203128 54.712925
2025-05-18 1.112794 1.911859 3.344265 6.245720 12.368757 25.691023 60.126484
2025-05-25 1.040214 1.807606 3.202301 6.073484 12.252099 26.011032 62.631614
2025-06-01 0.986547 1.734674 3.113931 6.001672 12.344288 26.817929 66.555337
2025-06-08 0.935531 1.663456 3.023816 5.918219 12.401228 27.547692 70.403835
2025-06-15 0.925332 1.668771 3.082283 6.152157 13.202989 30.183789 80.148421
2025-06-22 0.887983 1.619402 3.029153 6.141213 13.433678 31.430055 86.089708